GEOPOLITICS

Geopolitics Prediction Markets

The most traded geopolitics prediction markets on Polymarket right now — live odds, volume and time left. Combine with Polymira's AI bull/bear signals to trade smarter.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $855K⏱ 102d left
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
YES 97%NO 3%📊 $766K⏱ 42d left
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
YES 100%NO 0%📊 $349K⏱ 103d left
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $329K⏱ 103d left
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES 17%NO 83%📊 $299K⏱ 103d left
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $293K⏱ 103d left
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
YES 75%NO 25%📊 $183K⏱ 103d left
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
YES 28%NO 72%📊 $145K⏱ 102d left
Crude Oil all time high by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $126K⏱ 103d left
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
YES 4%NO 96%📊 $126K⏱ 103d left
Israel closes its airspace by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $114K⏱ 11d left
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $113K⏱ 103d left
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
YES 88%NO 12%📊 $106K⏱ 11d left
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
YES 50%NO 50%📊 $102K⏱ 11d left
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $99K⏱ 103d left
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $92K⏱ 11d left
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $89K⏱ 11d left
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
YES 4%NO 96%📊 $86K⏱ 103d left
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $66K⏱ 103d left
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $66K⏱ 0d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $60K⏱ 11d left
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
YES 5%NO 95%📊 $60K⏱ 284d left
Houthis enter Aden by...?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $47K⏱ 103d left
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $42K⏱ 103d left
Iran leadership change by...?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $41K⏱ 284d left
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES 7%NO 93%📊 $39K⏱ 103d left
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $39K⏱ 11d left
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
YES 50%NO 50%📊 $38K⏱ 11d left
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
YES 25%NO 75%📊 $36K⏱ 284d left
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
YES 3%NO 97%📊 $34K⏱ 20d left
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $30K⏱ 103d left
Trump out as President before 2027?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $30K⏱ 103d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES 17%NO 83%📊 $29K⏱ 103d left
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $26K⏱ 193d left
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
YES 50%NO 50%📊 $21K⏱ 11d left
Next leader out of power before 2027?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $21K⏱ 103d left
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $20K⏱ 103d left
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $19K⏱ 103d left
Iran leader end of 2026?
YES 5%NO 95%📊 $19K⏱ 102d left
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $17K⏱ 11d left
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