SCIENCE

Science Prediction Markets

The most traded science prediction markets on Polymarket right now — live odds, volume and time left. Combine with Polymira's AI bull/bear signals to trade smarter.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $104K⏱ 149d left
New pandemic in 2026?
YES 7%NO 93%📊 $25K⏱ 149d left
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
YES 92%NO 8%📊 $14K⏱ 149d left
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
YES 34%NO 66%📊 $6K⏱ 89d left
Precipitation in London in August?
YES 33%NO 67%📊 $6K⏱ 28d left
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
YES 55%NO 45%📊 $4K⏱ 149d left
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
YES 86%NO 14%📊 $2K⏱ 0d left
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
YES 69%NO 31%📊 $1K⏱ 149d left
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
YES 7%NO 93%📊 $964⏱ 239d left
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
YES 99%NO 1%📊 $424⏱ 28d left
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $407⏱ 0d left
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?
YES 53%NO 47%📊 $391⏱ 6d left
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
YES 15%NO 85%📊 $339⏱ 149d left
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
YES 3%NO 97%📊 $337⏱ 149d left
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $236⏱ 149d left
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 30, 2026?
YES 52%NO 48%📊 $236⏱ 4d left
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $221⏱ 28d left
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
YES 89%NO 11%📊 $209⏱ 28d left
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
YES 28%NO 72%📊 $191⏱ 28d left
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
YES 29%NO 71%📊 $163⏱ 0d left
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
YES 7%NO 93%📊 $124⏱ 149d left
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
YES 3%NO 97%📊 $118⏱ 149d left
Precipitation in NYC in August?
YES 33%NO 67%📊 $115⏱ 28d left
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
YES 94%NO 6%📊 $85⏱ 514d left
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $80⏱ 149d left
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
YES 26%NO 74%📊 $78⏱ 149d left
Natural Disaster in 2026?
YES 23%NO 77%📊 $50⏱ 149d left
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
YES 33%NO 67%📊 $33⏱ 149d left
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
YES 5%NO 95%📊 $30⏱ 149d left
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $16⏱ 149d left
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
YES 69%NO 31%📊 $16⏱ 239d left
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
YES 54%NO 46%📊 $2⏱ 28d left
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $1⏱ 149d left
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
YES 82%NO 18%📊 $605⏱ 514d left
Human moon landing in 2026?
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $2.0M⏱ 149d left
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
YES 54%NO 46%📊 $872K⏱ 514d left
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $4K
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $1K⏱ 150d left
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
YES 4%NO 96%📊 $18K⏱ 149d left
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
YES 7%NO 93%📊 $603⏱ 881d left
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