SCIENCE

Science Prediction Markets

The most traded science prediction markets on Polymarket right now — live odds, volume and time left. Combine with Polymira's AI bull/bear signals to trade smarter.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
YES 10%NO 90%📊 $132K⏱ 195d left
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $25K⏱ 3d left
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $14K⏱ 3d left
Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $5K⏱ 11d left
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
YES 77%NO 23%📊 $3K
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $2K⏱ 11d left
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
📊 $2K⏱ 195d left
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
YES 36%NO 64%📊 $1K⏱ 195d left
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
YES 5%NO 95%📊 $1K⏱ 11d left
June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $874⏱ 11d left
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
YES 49%NO 51%📊 $677⏱ 41d left
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
YES 19%NO 81%📊 $666⏱ 195d left
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $661⏱ 11d left
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
YES 38%NO 62%📊 $621
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $618⏱ 11d left
Human moon landing in 2026?
YES 3%NO 97%📊 $484⏱ 195d left
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
YES 25%NO 75%📊 $484⏱ 195d left
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?
YES 100%NO 0%📊 $479⏱ 11d left
New pandemic in 2026?
YES 11%NO 89%📊 $454⏱ 195d left
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
YES 4%NO 96%📊 $381⏱ 195d left
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
YES 21%NO 79%📊 $242⏱ 285d left
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $228⏱ 195d left
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $166⏱ 11d left
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $155⏱ 195d left
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
YES 100%NO 0%📊 $155⏱ 1d left
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
YES 30%NO 70%📊 $136⏱ 195d left
Natural Disaster in 2026?
YES 24%NO 76%📊 $111⏱ 195d left
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
YES 12%NO 88%📊 $80⏱ 560d left
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?
YES 5%NO 95%📊 $70⏱ 19d left
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
YES 85%NO 15%📊 $30⏱ 205d left
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $28⏱ 195d left
FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?
YES 70%NO 30%📊 $19⏱ 11d left
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $16⏱ 195d left
FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?
YES 78%NO 22%📊 $16⏱ 10d left
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
YES 27%NO 73%📊 $13⏱ 195d left
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
YES 26%NO 74%📊 $9⏱ 195d left
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
YES 30%NO 70%📊 $6⏱ 43d left
Precipitation in NYC in June?
YES 11%NO 89%📊 $2⏱ 11d left
Precipitation in Seattle in June?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $2⏱ 11d left
Precipitation in London in June?
YES 4%NO 96%📊 $2⏱ 11d left
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