SCIENCE

Science Prediction Markets

The most traded science prediction markets on Polymarket right now — live odds, volume and time left. Combine with Polymira's AI bull/bear signals to trade smarter.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $203K⏱ 143d left
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $7K⏱ 7d left
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $7K⏱ 22d left
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
YES 90%NO 10%📊 $6K⏱ 143d left
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
YES 22%NO 78%📊 $3K⏱ 83d left
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
YES 61%NO 39%📊 $3K⏱ 143d left
New pandemic in 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $2K⏱ 143d left
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
YES 94%NO 6%📊 $2K⏱ 143d left
When will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin?
YES 5%NO 95%📊 $1K⏱ 22d left
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $978⏱ 143d left
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
YES 96%NO 4%📊 $729⏱ 0d left
Natural Disaster in 2026?
YES 27%NO 73%📊 $690⏱ 143d left
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
YES 92%NO 8%📊 $663⏱ 22d left
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
YES 100%NO 0%📊 $654⏱ 22d left
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
YES 12%NO 88%📊 $584⏱ 143d left
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
YES 3%NO 97%📊 $404⏱ 143d left
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
YES 54%NO 46%📊 $340⏱ 143d left
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
YES 4%NO 96%📊 $326⏱ 143d left
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
YES 100%NO 0%📊 $262⏱ 22d left
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
YES 96%NO 4%📊 $183⏱ 153d left
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
YES 44%NO 56%📊 $174⏱ 508d left
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
YES 9%NO 91%📊 $167⏱ 0d left
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
YES 31%NO 69%📊 $156⏱ 22d left
Human moon landing in 2026?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $147⏱ 143d left
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $117
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 31, 2026?
YES 94%NO 6%📊 $115⏱ 5d left
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $98⏱ 143d left
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
YES 18%NO 82%📊 $73⏱ 143d left
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
YES 19%NO 81%📊 $71⏱ 22d left
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $54⏱ 875d left
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
YES 21%NO 79%📊 $43⏱ 22d left
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $30⏱ 144d left
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
YES 10%NO 90%📊 $29⏱ 143d left
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
YES 71%NO 29%📊 $27⏱ 233d left
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
YES 7%NO 93%📊 $15⏱ 233d left
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
YES 27%NO 73%📊 $14⏱ 143d left
Precipitation in London in August?
YES 39%NO 61%📊 $13⏱ 22d left
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $9⏱ 0d left
Precipitation in NYC in August?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $5⏱ 22d left
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
YES 5%NO 95%📊 $647⏱ 143d left
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