POLITICS

Politics Prediction Markets

The most traded politics prediction markets on Polymarket right now — live odds, volume and time left. Combine with Polymira's AI bull/bear signals to trade smarter.

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
YES 89%NO 11%📊 $4.1M⏱ 0d left
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
YES 15%NO 85%📊 $2.4M⏱ 779d left
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $873K⏱ 102d left
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $835K⏱ 779d left
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
YES 97%NO 3%📊 $766K⏱ 42d left
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $543K⏱ 103d left
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $527K⏱ 0d left
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $331K⏱ 103d left
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES 17%NO 83%📊 $300K⏱ 103d left
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $292K⏱ 103d left
Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $277K⏱ 3d left
Trump out as President by September 30?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $249K⏱ 11d left
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
YES 100%NO 0%📊 $249K⏱ 0d left
Which party will win the House in 2026?
YES 94%NO 6%📊 $229K⏱ 44d left
Brazil Presidential Election
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $207K⏱ 14d left
Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
YES 17%NO 83%📊 $205K⏱ 2d left
Next French Presidential Election
YES 37%NO 63%📊 $203K⏱ 222d left
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?
YES 75%NO 25%📊 $182K⏱ 103d left
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
YES 28%NO 72%📊 $145K⏱ 102d left
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $137K⏱ 0d left
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
YES 61%NO 39%📊 $131K⏱ 44d left
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
YES 4%NO 96%📊 $126K⏱ 103d left
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
YES 14%NO 86%📊 $116K⏱ 0d left
Israel closes its airspace by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $115K⏱ 11d left
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $112K⏱ 0d left
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $109K⏱ 103d left
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
YES 19%NO 81%📊 $109K⏱ 103d left
Presidential Election Winner 2028
YES 21%NO 79%📊 $109K⏱ 779d left
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
YES 88%NO 12%📊 $107K⏱ 11d left
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $104K⏱ 6d left
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
YES 53%NO 47%📊 $96K⏱ 650d left
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $96K⏱ 14d left
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $95K⏱ 11d left
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $92K⏱ 11d left
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YES 76%NO 24%📊 $78K⏱ 376d left
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $61K⏱ 103d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $60K⏱ 11d left
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
YES 5%NO 95%📊 $60K⏱ 284d left
Berlin State Election Winner
YES 31%NO 69%📊 $52K⏱ 0d left
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
YES 61%NO 39%📊 $50K⏱ 44d left
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