POLITICS

Politics Prediction Markets

The most traded politics prediction markets on Polymarket right now — live odds, volume and time left. Combine with Polymira's AI bull/bear signals to trade smarter.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
YES 19%NO 81%📊 $2.3M⏱ 27d left
Fed Decision in September?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $1.6M⏱ 43d left
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES 19%NO 81%📊 $977K⏱ 149d left
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
YES 96%NO 4%📊 $956K⏱ 0d left
Brazil Presidential Election
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $742K⏱ 61d left
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $700K⏱ 28d left
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $359K⏱ 826d left
Who will Trump speak to in July?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $353K⏱ 0d left
Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $285K⏱ 3d left
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
YES 13%NO 87%📊 $257K⏱ 0d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES 63%NO 37%📊 $221K⏱ 149d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES 30%NO 70%📊 $217K⏱ 57d left
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
YES 19%NO 81%📊 $215K⏱ 826d left
Presidential Election Winner 2028
YES 21%NO 79%📊 $195K⏱ 826d left
Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
YES 35%NO 65%📊 $181K⏱ 1d left
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES 7%NO 93%📊 $174K⏱ 149d left
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
YES 100%NO 0%📊 $157K⏱ 0d left
Clacton by-election Winner
YES 99%NO 1%📊 $157K⏱ 9d left
Next French Presidential Election
YES 30%NO 70%📊 $147K⏱ 269d left
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $133K⏱ 0d left
Iran leader end of 2026?
YES 3%NO 97%📊 $132K⏱ 149d left
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $124K⏱ 0d left
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $115K⏱ 0d left
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
YES 8%NO 92%📊 $105K⏱ 331d left
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $104K⏱ 149d left
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YES 25%NO 75%📊 $100K⏱ 150d left
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $96K⏱ 149d left
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
YES 46%NO 54%📊 $93K⏱ 91d left
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $88K⏱ 7d left
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
YES 34%NO 66%📊 $86K⏱ 149d left
Israel closes its airspace by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $75K⏱ 0d left
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
YES 68%NO 32%📊 $72K⏱ 17d left
Which party will win the House in 2026?
YES 87%NO 13%📊 $70K⏱ 91d left
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $53K⏱ 0d left
Iran leadership change by...?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $52K⏱ 149d left
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
YES 32%NO 68%📊 $50K⏱ 58d left
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
YES 73%NO 27%📊 $42K⏱ 0d left
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
YES 4%NO 96%📊 $42K⏱ 149d left
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
YES 14%NO 86%📊 $37K⏱ 514d left
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $36K⏱ 7d left
View all New Markets →