POLITICS

Politics Prediction Markets

The most traded politics prediction markets on Polymarket right now — live odds, volume and time left. Combine with Polymira's AI bull/bear signals to trade smarter.

Fed Decision in September?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $3.4M⏱ 37d left
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
YES 18%NO 82%📊 $2.0M⏱ 820d left
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $1.5M⏱ 22d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
YES 3%NO 97%📊 $1.2M⏱ 21d left
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
YES 66%NO 34%📊 $721K⏱ 41d left
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
YES 94%NO 6%📊 $680K⏱ 0d left
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $493K⏱ 1d left
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YES 25%NO 75%📊 $431K⏱ 144d left
Brazil Presidential Election
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $417K⏱ 55d left
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $323K⏱ 820d left
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $203K⏱ 143d left
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
YES 97%NO 3%📊 $188K⏱ 39d left
Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $164K⏱ 4d left
Presidential Election Winner 2028
YES 22%NO 78%📊 $144K⏱ 820d left
Trump out as President by August 31?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $131K⏱ 22d left
Next French Presidential Election
YES 31%NO 69%📊 $123K⏱ 263d left
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
YES 33%NO 67%📊 $108K⏱ 143d left
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES 7%NO 93%📊 $102K⏱ 143d left
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES 17%NO 83%📊 $93K⏱ 143d left
Clacton by-election Winner
YES 99%NO 1%📊 $93K⏱ 3d left
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $91K⏱ 21d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES 14%NO 86%📊 $88K⏱ 51d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES 47%NO 53%📊 $82K⏱ 143d left
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
YES 99%NO 1%📊 $76K⏱ 8d left
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $74K⏱ 0d left
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $74K⏱ 0d left
South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $68K⏱ 2d left
Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $61K⏱ 8d left
Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner
YES 65%NO 35%📊 $58K⏱ 1d left
Which party will win the House in 2026?
YES 87%NO 13%📊 $56K⏱ 85d left
Iran leadership change by...?
YES 7%NO 93%📊 $53K⏱ 143d left
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
YES 8%NO 92%📊 $53K⏱ 324d left
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
YES 26%NO 74%📊 $51K⏱ 11d left
Iran leader end of 2026?
YES 5%NO 95%📊 $48K⏱ 143d left
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $47K⏱ 1d left
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $45K⏱ 0d left
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
YES 99%NO 1%📊 $39K⏱ 41d left
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $38K⏱ 143d left
Elon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026?
YES 36%NO 64%📊 $34K⏱ 2d left
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $31K⏱ 143d left
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