POLITICS

Politics Prediction Markets

The most traded politics prediction markets on Polymarket right now — live odds, volume and time left. Combine with Polymira's AI bull/bear signals to trade smarter.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
YES 19%NO 81%📊 $1.9M⏱ 27d left
Fed Decision in September?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $1.6M⏱ 43d left
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES 18%NO 82%📊 $1.0M⏱ 149d left
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
YES 96%NO 4%📊 $926K⏱ 0d left
Brazil Presidential Election
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $766K⏱ 61d left
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $701K⏱ 28d left
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $383K⏱ 826d left
Who will Trump speak to in July?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $378K⏱ 0d left
Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $294K⏱ 3d left
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
YES 19%NO 81%📊 $288K⏱ 826d left
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
YES 13%NO 87%📊 $277K⏱ 0d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES 61%NO 39%📊 $215K⏱ 149d left
Presidential Election Winner 2028
YES 21%NO 79%📊 $212K⏱ 826d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES 30%NO 70%📊 $212K⏱ 57d left
Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?
YES 41%NO 59%📊 $181K⏱ 1d left
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES 7%NO 93%📊 $174K⏱ 149d left
Clacton by-election Winner
YES 99%NO 1%📊 $157K⏱ 9d left
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
YES 100%NO 0%📊 $152K⏱ 0d left
Next French Presidential Election
YES 30%NO 70%📊 $147K⏱ 269d left
Iran leader end of 2026?
YES 3%NO 97%📊 $132K⏱ 149d left
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $128K⏱ 0d left
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $107K⏱ 0d left
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $105K⏱ 0d left
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $104K⏱ 149d left
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
YES 8%NO 92%📊 $103K⏱ 330d left
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YES 25%NO 75%📊 $99K⏱ 150d left
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $98K⏱ 7d left
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $96K⏱ 149d left
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
YES 46%NO 54%📊 $93K⏱ 91d left
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
YES 34%NO 66%📊 $86K⏱ 149d left
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
YES 69%NO 31%📊 $71K⏱ 17d left
Which party will win the House in 2026?
YES 87%NO 13%📊 $70K⏱ 91d left
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
YES 98%NO 2%📊 $69K⏱ 14d left
Israel closes its airspace by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $66K⏱ 0d left
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $54K⏱ 0d left
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
YES 31%NO 69%📊 $51K⏱ 58d left
Iran leadership change by...?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $44K⏱ 149d left
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
YES 74%NO 26%📊 $43K⏱ 0d left
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
YES 4%NO 96%📊 $40K⏱ 149d left
South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $38K⏱ 7d left
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