POLITICS

Politics Prediction Markets

The most traded politics prediction markets on Polymarket right now — live odds, volume and time left. Combine with Polymira's AI bull/bear signals to trade smarter.

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $4.1M⏱ 0d left
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $3.8M⏱ 872d left
US-Iran deal text released by...?
YES 100%NO 0%📊 $3.3M⏱ 12d left
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $2.5M⏱ 0d left
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
YES 100%NO 0%📊 $2.3M⏱ 11d left
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
YES 43%NO 57%📊 $2.1M⏱ 11d left
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
YES 2%NO 98%📊 $1.4M⏱ 872d left
Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $1.3M⏱ 1d left
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
YES 40%NO 60%📊 $1.1M⏱ 11d left
Presidential Election Winner 2028
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $951K⏱ 872d left
Next French Presidential Election
YES 8%NO 92%📊 $729K⏱ 315d left
Fed Decision in July?
YES 72%NO 28%📊 $619K⏱ 40d left
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $612K⏱ 195d left
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
YES 35%NO 65%📊 $601K⏱ 195d left
Starmer out by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $516K⏱ 0d left
Israel closes its airspace by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $433K⏱ 0d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
YES 42%NO 58%📊 $421K⏱ 42d left
Colombia Presidential Election
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $388K⏱ 2d left
Brazil Presidential Election
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $378K⏱ 107d left
Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $371K⏱ 5d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
YES 24%NO 76%📊 $368K⏱ 26d left
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $331K⏱ 11d left
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
YES 47%NO 53%📊 $302K⏱ 195d left
Peru Presidential Election Winner
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $291K⏱ 0d left
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $265K⏱ 195d left
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
YES 1%NO 99%📊 $206K⏱ 11d left
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
YES 3%NO 97%📊 $183K⏱ 93d left
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $175K⏱ 195d left
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $165K⏱ 0d left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YES 87%NO 13%📊 $155K⏱ 195d left
Elon Musk # tweets June 18 - June 20, 2026?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $153K⏱ 2d left
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
YES 61%NO 39%📊 $143K⏱ 0d left
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
YES 61%NO 39%📊 $142K⏱ 195d left
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
YES 10%NO 90%📊 $132K⏱ 195d left
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
YES 53%NO 47%📊 $126K⏱ 42d left
Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?
YES 6%NO 94%📊 $117K⏱ 19d left
Trump out as President by June 30?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $114K⏱ 11d left
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $93K⏱ 195d left
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
YES 8%NO 92%📊 $90K⏱ 113d left
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
YES 0%NO 100%📊 $89K
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